Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.250444 3.805956 4.395730 5.065317 5.801244 6.582390 7.471135
2025-01-05 2.470449 3.239205 4.115048 5.172962 6.402531 7.773622 9.405014
2025-01-12 1.901487 2.781435 3.852214 5.218083 6.881556 8.811115 11.187473
2025-01-19 1.441826 2.358051 3.547696 5.144380 7.171717 9.604334 12.687329
2025-01-26 1.163101 2.110229 3.413823 5.241206 7.642302 10.602100 14.437534
2025-02-02 0.947465 1.904860 3.298207 5.330693 8.083382 11.556236 16.141631
2025-02-09 0.722023 1.635745 3.051498 5.206710 8.218743 12.109039 17.341998
2025-02-16 0.546648 1.406541 2.827201 5.081941 8.327951 12.612127 18.472661
2025-02-23 0.434002 1.260013 2.706902 5.088213 8.603477 13.326763 19.877027
2025-03-02 0.328271 1.097347 2.535659 4.996736 8.725744 13.828449 21.002889
2025-03-09 0.283989 1.051886 2.555288 5.195940 9.266119 14.901621 22.894975
2025-03-16 0.222935 0.949176 2.458623 5.198718 9.512170 15.570442 24.254456
2025-03-23 0.197489 0.930092 2.517486 5.463704 10.166576 16.833478 26.455029
2025-03-30 0.170142 0.897510 2.546395 5.679183 10.752515 18.013529 28.565228
2025-04-06 0.136936 0.835013 2.507545 5.774691 11.155215 18.940888 30.344714
2025-04-13 0.099609 0.739886 2.387146 5.717286 11.314092 19.519463 31.650681
2025-04-20 0.079602 0.694585 2.365815 5.831328 11.742000 20.489039 33.506899
2025-04-27 0.062606 0.650367 2.339739 5.932183 12.147773 21.429390 35.330491
2025-05-04 0.040450 0.561767 2.195332 5.800882 12.169882 21.803937 36.362774
2025-05-11 0.024546 0.482498 2.057102 5.667481 12.178289 22.152306 37.356847
2025-05-18 0.016167 0.436299 1.994395 5.674668 12.416980 22.844459 38.843951
2025-05-25 0.008769 0.377325 1.884137 5.576305 12.470465 23.254600 39.929151
2025-06-01 0.006919 0.371679 1.925663 5.790971 13.063884 24.492045 42.216285